Where finance claims meet evidence.

Every day, the news makes claims about your money. Pefiy puts them on a board, shows what the evidence says, lets you call them — and grades everyone against reality. No betting. Your track record is the stake.

Open claims

Jul 18, 2026 · resolve Aug 17, 2026 · graded against the market, in public

Extracted from today's finance coverage. Each claim shows what the evidence says and what the crowd calls — then reality grades everyone. No money. Your record is the stake.

bullishNifty Bank Fund · India Fund

Major Indian banking indices and stocks are experiencing significant upward momentum driven by regulatory measures from the central bank and falling crude oil prices.

No calls yet — be first on the record
5 sourced headlines
bullishAmazon · Bitcoin · Ethereum

Institutional investors are increasingly allocating capital to cryptocurrency assets through new multi-crypto exchange-traded funds and pension fund rebalancing activities.

No calls yet — be first on the record
3 sourced headlines
bullishHDFC Bank · HDFC Bank (NSE) · ICICI Bank

The financial services sector is emerging as a primary driver of value creation in the Indian market, with major banks reporting solid earnings growth and strategic leadership appointments.

No calls yet — be first on the record
2 sourced headlines
bearishAMD · Nifty Bank Fund · Google

Global equity markets are facing volatility due to geopolitical tensions involving Iran and concerns over the concentration of non-benchmark index heavyweights in Indian markets.

No calls yet — be first on the record
5 sourced headlines

Sources: Yahoo Finance RSS, Google News RSS, Economic Times Markets, CoinDesk · claims are statements extracted from coverage, not recommendations · calls are opinions on the record, not bets — no money is involved · Pefiy is a simulation engine for educational purposes. Not financial advice.

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Real prompts, really replayed.

Each of these is a real thesis, run through the full engine: a matching portfolio, a trading rule per holding, and 12 months replayed day by day — traded, held, and against the market.

Simulation report · Jul 17, 2025 – Jul 17, 2026

“The AI bubble is about to pop — protect me”

Shelter From The AI Storm

$10,000 became$10,39812-month return+4.0%Worst drawdown−5.0%

Trading and holding this portfolio finished within half a point of each other. The market returned +18.4% over the same period.

  1. 1stMarket (S&P 500)$11,835
  2. 2ndTraded by rule$10,398
  3. 3rdHeld, untouched$10,392

Skill or chance: Mixed — skill and luck in roughly equal measure. Test: the year's trades reshuffled 1,000 times, checked against how often chance alone did as well.

From the trade log

  • Jul 18, 2025 · Got back aboard Gold as the climb resumed.
  • Jul 18, 2025 · Got back aboard S&P 500 as the climb resumed.
  • Jul 18, 2025 · Jumped on Tech Short Fund as it broke new ground.
  • Jul 18, 2025 · Put money to work in Treasury Bills and settled in.
  • Jul 18, 2025 · Eased back into Short-Term Treasuries as the skies cleared.

run d67d7bea7168 · Jul 17, 2025 – Jul 17, 2026 · simulated, next-day-open fills · a simulation, not advice

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